Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Yuen Long FC beat Central and Western District R&SA 3-1 in 1. Division.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Yuen Long FC won 3-1.
Story
Yuen Long FC vs Central and Western District R&SA: the story of the match
5' — Yuen Long FC took the lead: 1-0. 38' — Yuen Long FC extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
76' — Yuen Long FC extended the lead: 3-0. 89' — Central and Western District R&SA pulled one back: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. Yuen Long FC won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Yuen Long FCDrawCentral and Western District R&SA
Pre-match model estimate: Yuen Long FC 42%, draw 22%, Central and Western District R&SA 36%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Yuen Long FC win in 42% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Central and Western District R&SA win 36%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 71%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Yuen Long FC – Central and Western District R&SA match report
Yuen Long FC took the lead on 5 minutes. Yuen Long FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 38 minutes. It was Yuen Long FC 2-0 Central and Western District R&SA at half-time.
Yuen Long FC extended their lead to 3-0 on 76 minutes. Late on, in the 89th minute, Central and Western District R&SA pulled one back to make it 3-1.
What the numbers say
On target it was 10-3, from 10 and 6 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-6.
What it means
Yuen Long FC remain 1st, now with 19 points. Central and Western District R&SA slip to 7th (12 points), having started the day 6th. That is 4 straight wins for Yuen Long FC. Central and Western District R&SA have now scored in 9 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
