Wisla Krakow vs KS Rakow Czestochowa: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
54' — Wisla Krakow took the lead: 1-0. J. Ertlthaler scored it. 84' — KS Rakow Czestochowa equalised: 1-1. L. Diaby-Fadiga scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Wisla Krakow went back in front: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. Wisla Krakow won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Wisla Krakow win in 57% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and KS Rakow Czestochowa win 22%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 58%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Wisla Krakow and KS Rakow Czestochowa.
Wisla Krakow took the lead on 54 minutes thanks to J. Ertlthaler. KS Rakow Czestochowa had a goal ruled out in the 78th minute. KS Rakow Czestochowa drew level at 1-1 in the 84th minute: L. Diaby-Fadiga from the penalty spot. Just 6 minutes later (90') Wisla Krakow went 2-1 up.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-2, from 11 and 7 attempts respectively. 5 saves came from the KS Rakow Czestochowa goalkeeper.
What it means
The result lifts Wisla Krakow to 5th with 21 points, up from 6th. KS Rakow Czestochowa stay 18th on 6 points. KS Rakow Czestochowa have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. It is Wisla Krakow's first win against KS Rakow Czestochowa since 2020.
Ekstraklasa
