Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
Pre-match model estimate: Wigan Athletic 34%, draw 25%, Mansfield Town 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Wigan Athletic win in 34% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Mansfield Town win 41%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 59%. About 11.2 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Wigan Athletic had 8 shots (2 on target) to Mansfield Town's 5 (3). Corners finished 5-2. Dangerous attacks: 51 for Wigan Athletic, 35 for Mansfield Town.
What it means
Wigan Athletic remain 21st, now with 11 points. Mansfield Town climb from 12th to 11th on 19 points. Across 6 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Wigan Athletic, 1 win for Mansfield Town and 3 draws.
Next fixtures
Next up for Wigan Athletic: away at Crewe Alexandra on Tuesday 10 November. Mansfield Town's next match is at home against Chesterfield FC on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
