Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Watford (Wom) beat Durham FC (Wom) 4-2 in FA WSL 2.
In our records Watford (Wom) and Durham FC (Wom) have met 4 times: Watford (Wom) won 1, 2 ended level and Durham FC (Wom) won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Durham FC (Wom) 0-2 Watford (Wom).
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Watford (Wom) won 4-2.
Story
Watford (Wom) vs Durham FC (Wom): the story of the match
17' — Watford (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
47' — Watford (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. 61' — Watford (Wom) extended the lead: 3-0. 65' — Watford (Wom) extended the lead: 4-0. 87' — Durham FC (Wom) pulled one back: 4-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Durham FC (Wom) pulled one back: 4-2. It came in the closing minutes. Watford (Wom) won 4-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Watford (Wom)DrawDurham FC (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Watford (Wom) 39%, draw 23%, Durham FC (Wom) 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Watford (Wom) win in 39% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Durham FC (Wom) win 38%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 65%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Watford (Wom) took the lead on 17 minutes. It was Watford (Wom) 1-0 Durham FC (Wom) at half-time.
Watford (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 47 minutes. Watford (Wom) extended their lead to 3-0 on 61 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (65') Watford (Wom) extended their lead to 4-0. Late on, in the 87th minute, Durham FC (Wom) pulled one back to make it 4-1. Durham FC (Wom) pulled one back to make it 4-2 on 90 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 2-6, 0-4 on target. Watford (Wom) won 4 corners, Durham FC (Wom) 8. Durham FC (Wom) produced 136 dangerous attacks to Watford (Wom)'s 107.
What the result means
Watford (Wom) stay 10th on 6 points. Durham FC (Wom) remain 12th, now with 0 points. Watford (Wom) end a run of 8 matches without a win. It is now 9 straight defeats for Durham FC (Wom).
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
