Salford City started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 45' — Salford City took the lead: 0-1. Macaulay Langstaff scored it. Half time: 0-1, with Salford City applying more of the pressure.
54' — Salford City extended the lead: 0-2. Jorge Grant scored it. 58' — Walsall pulled one back: 1-2. Aaron Pressley scored it. 66' — Walsall equalised: 2-2. Lewis Simper scored it. 67' — Salford City went back in front: 2-3. Kallum Cesay scored it. 82' — Salford City extended the lead: 2-4. Adebola Oluwo scored it. After 91' the momentum swung to Walsall. Salford City won 2-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
WalsallDrawSalford City
Pre-match model estimate: Walsall 31%, draw 26%, Salford City 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
WalsallSalford City
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min8512
Last 15 min6312
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Walsall win in 31% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Salford City win 43%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Walsall – Salford City match report
Updated:
Salford City beat Walsall4-2 in the League Two at Bescot Stadium. It was 0-1 at half-time. The attendance at Bescot Stadium was 6,395.
Key moments
Salford City started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. The officials disallowed a Salford City goal on 38 minutes. Salford City took the lead in the 45th minute: Macaulay Langstaff. It was Walsall 0-1 Salford City at half-time; Salford City had the better of the pressure.
Salford City extended their lead to 2-0 in the 54th minute: Jorge Grant. Just 4 minutes later (58') Walsall pulled one back to make it 1-2, Aaron Pressley on target. Walsall drew level at 2-2 on 66 minutes thanks to Lewis Simper. Salford City went 3-2 up on 67 minutes thanks to Kallum Cesay. Adebola Oluwo made it 4-2 for Salford City after 82 minutes.
From the 91st minute the pressure shifted towards Walsall.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-14, 4-8 on target. Corners finished 6-6. Dangerous attacks: 45 for Salford City, 28 for Walsall.
What it means
Walsall remain 6th, now with 19 points. Salford City stay 1st on 28 points. Walsall's 5-match unbeaten run is over. That is 4 straight wins for Salford City.
What’s next
Walsall visit Colchester United next, on 31 October in the League Two. Next up for Salford City: home to Exeter City on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
