Wales vs Portugal kick-off time: 17/11/2026 19:45
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- WalesLWLLL
- PortugalWWWWL4 wins in a row
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeaguePortugal1 - 0Wales
- Euro ChampionshipPortugal2 - 0Wales
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
MoreLine-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Wales and Portugal meet on in UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1.
In our records Wales and Portugal have met 2 times: Wales won 0, 0 ended level and Portugal won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Portugal 1-0 Wales.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Portugal (59%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Wales vs Portugal: preview
Wales have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Wales's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Portugal have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Portugal have won 4 matches in a row. 6 of Portugal's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 2 meetings, Wales won 0, 0 ended level and Portugal won 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Wales 18%, draw 23%, Portugal 59%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Wales win in 18% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Portugal win 59%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
