Poland vs Sweden kick-off time: 17/11/2026 19:45
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- PolandLWLDD
- SwedenWDWWLUnbeaten in 4 matches
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeagueSweden3 - 1Poland
- World Cup - Qualification EuropeSweden3 - 2Poland
- World Cup - Qualification EuropePoland2 - 0Sweden
UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Poland and Sweden meet on in UEFA Nations League, League A, Gr. 1.
In our records Poland and Sweden have met 4 times: Poland won 1, 0 ended level and Sweden won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Sweden 3-1 Poland.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Poland vs Sweden: preview
Poland have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 6 of Poland's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Sweden have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Sweden are unbeaten in 4 matches. 7 of Sweden's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
In their last 4 meetings, Poland won 1, 0 ended level and Sweden won 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Poland 37%, draw 24%, Sweden 39%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Poland win in 37% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Sweden win 39%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
