Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
VV Sint BavoKick-off0-0VV Gemert
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals VV Sint Bavo 1.9 – 1.7 VV Gemert. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Both teams score in 69% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
VV Sint BavoVV Gemert
VV Gemert: the stronger side on our resultsVGclear
VV Sint Bavo: home advantage in this competitionVSstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, VV Sint Bavo have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. VV Sint Bavo have found the net in 3 straight games. VV Sint Bavo's previous outing was a 4-0 win at home to Echt VV in the KNVB Cup, 17 days before this kick-off. At home, VV Sint Bavo have 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 10-10.
Over the last 5 matches, VV Gemert have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. VV Gemert come into this game 16 days after a 2-0 defeat to VPV Purmersteijn in the KNVB Cup. VV Gemert's recent away record reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Across 10 matches, VV Gemert have scored 1.1 and let in 1.2 goals per match on average.
Previous meetings
The record between them over the last 4 matches reads 2-1-1 from VV Sint Bavo's point of view. The last meeting, in 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for VV Sint Bavo. Those 4 games produced 7 goals, an average of 1.8 per match.
