One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Vis PesaroKick-off0-0US Pianese
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Vis Pesaro 1.2 – 1.4 US Pianese. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Both teams score in 53% of the simulated matches. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Vis PesaroUS Pianese
US Pianese: the stronger side on our resultsUPstrong
Vis Pesaro: home advantage in this competitionVPstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards US Pianese.
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Vis Pesaro.
Table by result
Vis Pesaro20Relegation
A win can lift them out of the danger zone (Relegation).
Win19–20Draw20Loss20
US Pianese18
A win can lift them as high as 15.
Win15–16Draw16–17Loss17–18
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It is 20th against 18th: Vis Pesaro have 4 points, US Pianese 9 points. 5 points separate the sides, with US Pianese in front. At 20th, Vis Pesaro are in the Relegation zone.
Vis Pesaro are 3 points from safety.
How they come into it
Vis PesaroLDLLLUS PianeseWDDDD
Vis Pesaro have 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 8. Vis Pesaro have gone 6 matches without a win. Vis Pesaro's recent home record reads 1 win and 4 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. 7 of Vis Pesaro's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
US Pianese are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 1 win and 4 draws. US Pianese have not lost in 6 matches. On the road, US Pianese have 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 4-6. US Pianese average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game over their last 10.
Head to head
Vis Pesaro and US Pianese have met 4 times in our records: 2 wins for Vis Pesaro, 1 for US Pianese and 1 draw. When they last met, on 31 January 2026, Vis Pesaro won 2-1. US Pianese have not beaten Vis Pesaro in 3 matches.
Serie C, Group B
