8' — SSC Napoli took the lead: 0-1. A. Rrahmani scored it. 23' — Villarreal equalised: 1-1. S. Mourino scored it. 26' — Villarreal completed the turnaround: 2-1. G. Mikautadze scored it. Half time: 2-1.
86' — Villarreal extended the lead: 3-1. T. Oluwaseyi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Villarreal won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
VillarrealDrawSSC Napoli
Pre-match model estimate: Villarreal 51%, draw 22%, SSC Napoli 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SSC Napoli took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to A. Rrahmani. Villarreal drew level at 1-1 on 23 minutes thanks to S. Mourino. Just 3 minutes later (26') Villarreal completed the turnaround at 2-1, G. Mikautadze on target, set up by G. Moreno. Villarreal led 2-1 at the break.
UEFA Champions League
