Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Vera Cruz FC and Ibis SC drew 1-1 in Campeonato Pernambucano A1.
In our records Vera Cruz FC and Ibis SC have met 2 times: Vera Cruz FC won 0, 1 ended level and Ibis SC won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Vera Cruz FC 1-3 Ibis SC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Vera Cruz FC vs Ibis SC: the story of the match
Ibis SC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Ibis SC applying more of the pressure.
52' — Ibis SC took the lead: 0-1. 90' — Vera Cruz FC equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. After 61' the momentum swung to Vera Cruz FC. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Vera Cruz FCDrawIbis SC
Pre-match model estimate: Vera Cruz FC 41%, draw 27%, Ibis SC 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Vera Cruz FCIbis SC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min8846
Last 15 min7049
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vera Cruz FC win in 41% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Ibis SC win 32%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ibis SC started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. The first half ended 0-0, with Ibis SC the side applying more pressure.
Ibis SC took the lead on 52 minutes. From the 61st minute the pressure shifted towards Vera Cruz FC. Late on, in the 90th minute, Vera Cruz FC drew level at 1-1.
Match statistics
The shot count read 9-11, 5-7 on target. Corners finished 7-9.
What the result means
Vera Cruz FC sit 2nd on 5 points in the standings. In the table, Ibis SC are 1st with 5 points. Vera Cruz FC are now unbeaten in 4 matches. Ibis SC have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for Ibis SC and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
