Vaxjo Dff (Wom) vs BK Hacken (Wom): the story of the match
26' — BK Hacken (Wom) took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by A. Broman. Half time: 0-1.
68' — Vaxjo Dff (Wom) equalised: 1-1. E. Nilsson scored it. 89' — BK Hacken (Wom) went back in front: 1-2. J. Omewa scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. BK Hacken (Wom) won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Vaxjo Dff (Wom)DrawBK Hacken (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Vaxjo Dff (Wom) 3%, draw 7%, BK Hacken (Wom) 90%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vaxjo Dff (Wom) win in 3% of the simulated matches, 7% end level and BK Hacken (Wom) win 90%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 0-3 (12%); both teams score in 44%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
BK Hacken (Wom) took the lead on 26 minutes thanks to an own goal from A. Broman. It was Vaxjo Dff (Wom) 0-1 BK Hacken (Wom) at half-time.
Vaxjo Dff (Wom) drew level at 1-1 in the 68th minute: E. Nilsson, set up by T. Persson Welin. Late on, in the 89th minute, BK Hacken (Wom) went 2-1 up through J. Omewa from the penalty spot.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 2-12, 2-7 on target. Corners finished 2-10. Vaxjo Dff (Wom)'s goalkeeper made 7 saves. Dangerous attacks: 289 for BK Hacken (Wom), 114 for Vaxjo Dff (Wom).
What it means
Vaxjo Dff (Wom) remain 13th, now with 18 points. BK Hacken (Wom) stay 1st on 64 points. Vaxjo Dff (Wom) have lost 4 in a row.
Next fixtures
Next up for BK Hacken (Wom): away at Paris (Wom) on Thursday 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
