One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Varzim SCKick-off0-0AD Fafe
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Varzim SC win in 37% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and AD Fafe win 36%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
AD Fafe failed to score as Varzim SC won 2-0 in the Liga 3. The half-time score was 0-0. Sunday 8 November: Varzim SC against AD Fafe on matchday 9, kick-off 15:00.
How the match unfolded
The first half ended 0-0.
Varzim SC took the lead on 56 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (58') Varzim SC extended their lead to 2-0.
What the numbers say
Varzim SC had 2 shots (2 on target) to AD Fafe's 6 (2). Expected goals (xG) 0.97 – 0.80: Varzim SC created the better chances. Varzim SC won 3 corners, AD Fafe 6. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 3 to Varzim SC and 1 to AD Fafe. AD Fafe produced 149 dangerous attacks to Varzim SC's 117. Fouls: 14 by Varzim SC, 13 by AD Fafe; offsides 3-1.
How they came into it
The table had Varzim SC 8th (9 points) and AD Fafe 3rd (13 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, Varzim SC's last 5 matches had brought 5 defeats. Varzim SC lost 2-0 away to Leca FC in their last match. AD Fafe came into the match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 3-1 win over Pacos Ferreira for AD Fafe. Varzim SC and AD Fafe have met 9 times in our records: 1 win for Varzim SC, 6 for AD Fafe and 2 draws. When they last met, on 4 January 2026, AD Fafe won 1-0. There have been 20 goals in the 9 meetings, 2.2 a game.
What the result means
Varzim SC end a run of 6 straight defeats.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
