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Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) beat Calgary Wild FC (Wom) 3-2 in Northern Super League - Women.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) won 3-2.
Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) won 3-2.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) 51%, draw 18%, Calgary Wild FC (Wom) 31%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) win in 51% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Calgary Wild FC (Wom) win 31%. Average goals 4.9; the most likely score is 2-2 (7%); both teams score in 82%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Updated:
A 3-2 home win for Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) against Calgary Wild FC (Wom) in the Northern Super League - Women.
Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) end a run of 4 matches without a win. Vancouver Rise FC (Wom) ended Calgary Wild FC (Wom)'s unbeaten run of 3 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
