Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Vag FK beat Odds BK 2 4-2 in 3. Division.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Vag FK won 4-2.
Story
Vag FK vs Odds BK 2: the story of the match
12' — Vag FK took the lead: 1-0. 40' — Vag FK extended the lead: 2-0. 44' — Odds BK 2 pulled one back: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
85' — Odds BK 2 equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Vag FK went back in front: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Vag FK extended the lead: 4-2. It came in the closing minutes. Vag FK won 4-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Vag FKDrawOdds BK 2
Pre-match model estimate: Vag FK 55%, draw 19%, Odds BK 2 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vag FK win in 55% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Odds BK 2 win 26%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 75%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Vag FK – Odds BK 2 match report
Updated:
It was 2-1 at half-time.
How the match unfolded
Vag FK took the lead on 12 minutes. Vag FK extended their lead to 2-0 on 40 minutes. Half-time: 2-1, Vag FK in front.
Just 5 minutes later (90') Vag FK went 3-2 up. Late on, in the 90th minute, Vag FK extended their lead to 4-2.
Match statistics
Corners finished 7-2.
What it means
That is 4 straight wins for Vag FK.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.