USL Dunkerque vs En Avant Guingamp: the story of the match
17' — USL Dunkerque took the lead: 1-0. Jordan Morel scored it. Half time: 1-0.
66' — USL Dunkerque extended the lead: 2-0. Souleymane Keita scored it. 73' — USL Dunkerque extended the lead: 3-0. Khalil Ayari scored it. USL Dunkerque won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
USL DunkerqueDrawEn Avant Guingamp
Pre-match model estimate: USL Dunkerque 34%, draw 25%, En Avant Guingamp 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): USL Dunkerque win in 34% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and En Avant Guingamp win 41%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
USL Dunkerque took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to Jordan Morel. Half-time: 1-0, USL Dunkerque in front.
Souleymane Keita made it 2-0 for USL Dunkerque after 66 minutes. En Avant Guingamp had a goal ruled out in the 69th minute. Just 4 minutes later (73') USL Dunkerque extended their lead to 3-0, Khalil Ayari on target.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 19-14, 6-6 on target. Corners finished 6-1.
What the result means
The result lifts USL Dunkerque to 10th with 15 points, up from 12th. En Avant Guingamp drop from 9th to 11th on 14 points. En Avant Guingamp's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
