Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
ASC Jaraaf beat US Ouakam 3-1 in League 1.
Venue: Stade Demba Diop.
In our records US Ouakam and ASC Jaraaf have met 9 times: US Ouakam won 2, 3 ended level and ASC Jaraaf won 4.
Their latest meeting (): ASC Jaraaf 0-0 US Ouakam.
Match details
Venue
Stade Demba Diop, Dakar capacity 15,000
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: ASC Jaraaf won 1-3.
Story
US Ouakam vs ASC Jaraaf: the story of the match
13' — US Ouakam took the lead: 1-0. 43' — ASC Jaraaf equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
72' — ASC Jaraaf completed the turnaround: 1-2. 79' — ASC Jaraaf extended the lead: 1-3. ASC Jaraaf won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
US OuakamDrawASC Jaraaf
Pre-match model estimate: US Ouakam 33%, draw 38%, ASC Jaraaf 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): US Ouakam win in 33% of the simulated matches, 38% end level and ASC Jaraaf win 29%. Average goals 1.5; the most likely score is 0-0 (23%); both teams score in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
US Ouakam took the lead on 13 minutes. ASC Jaraaf drew level at 1-1 on 43 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
ASC Jaraaf completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 72 minutes. ASC Jaraaf extended their lead to 3-1 on 79 minutes.
What the numbers say
US Ouakam won 3 corners, ASC Jaraaf 3. US Ouakam produced 57 dangerous attacks to ASC Jaraaf's 32.
What it means
US Ouakam drop from 12th to 14th on 0 points. The result lifts ASC Jaraaf to 2nd with 4 points, up from 8th. US Ouakam have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. ASC Jaraaf extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
