Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
US Bougouba and AS Bakaridjan meet on in Ligue 1.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Why it matters: A win could put US Bougouba top of the table.
Chances to win
Model estimate
35%30%35%
US Bougouba35%Draw30%AS Bakaridjan35%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
US Bougouba vs AS Bakaridjan: preview
US Bougouba have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 2 of US Bougouba's last 6 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. AS Bakaridjan have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. AS Bakaridjan are unbeaten in 3 matches. 5 of AS Bakaridjan's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
US Bougouba are in position 10 with 1 points, AS Bakaridjan in position 3 with 3 points. A win could lift US Bougouba as high as position 1. A win could lift AS Bakaridjan as high as position 1.
Our pre-match model estimate: US Bougouba 35%, draw 30%, AS Bakaridjan 35%.
Table by result
US Bougouba10
A win takes them top.
Win1Draw5Loss5–10
AS Bakaridjan3
A win takes them top.
A defeat can drop them as low as 5.
Win1Draw1Loss2–5
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): US Bougouba win in 35% of the simulated matches, 30% end level and AS Bakaridjan win 35%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 41%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AS Bakaridjan arrive 3rd in the standings on 3 points; US Bougouba are 10th with 1 point. US Bougouba trail AS Bakaridjan by 2 points. A win could take US Bougouba top of the table. AS Bakaridjan can climb to the top with victory.
Recent form
Over the last 5 matches, US Bougouba have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. AS Real Bamako beat US Bougouba 4-0 last time out. Across 6 matches, US Bougouba have scored 1.0 and let in 2.2 goals per match on average.
Recent form for AS Bakaridjan: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in 5, with 7 goals for and 5 against. AS Bakaridjan have not lost in 3 matches. AS Bakaridjan average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
