Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
UD Santarem beat GD Vitoria de Sernache 2-1 in Liga 3.
Venue: Campo Cha das Padeiras.
In our records UD Santarem and GD Vitoria de Sernache have met 3 times: UD Santarem won 3, 0 ended level and GD Vitoria de Sernache won 0.
Their latest meeting (): UD Santarem 3-0 GD Vitoria de Sernache.
Match details
Venue
Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: UD Santarem won 2-1.
Story
UD Santarem vs GD Vitoria de Sernache: the story of the match
23' — GD Vitoria de Sernache took the lead: 0-1. 40' — UD Santarem equalised: 1-1. 42' — UD Santarem completed the turnaround: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
UD Santarem won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
UD SantaremDrawGD Vitoria de Sernache
Pre-match model estimate: UD Santarem 45%, draw 27%, GD Vitoria de Sernache 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): UD Santarem win in 45% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and GD Vitoria de Sernache win 28%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
GD Vitoria de Sernache took the lead on 23 minutes. UD Santarem drew level at 1-1 on 40 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (42') UD Santarem completed the turnaround at 2-1. UD Santarem led 2-1 at the break.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-2, from 8 and 4 attempts respectively. UD Santarem won 6 corners, GD Vitoria de Sernache 5. 5 saves came from the GD Vitoria de Sernache goalkeeper.
The bigger picture
The result lifts UD Santarem to 4th with 10 points, up from 7th. GD Vitoria de Sernache stay 10th on 4 points. UD Santarem have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The result ends GD Vitoria de Sernache's run of 3 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
