39' — Torino took the lead: 1-0. Kian Fitz-Jim scored it. Half time: 1-0.
47' — AC Monza equalised: 1-1. Gustavo Varela scored it. 61' — Torino went back in front: 2-1. Rafik Belghali scored it. 73' — Torino extended the lead: 3-1. Nikola Vlasic scored it. 90' — AC Monza pulled one back: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Torino won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
TorinoDrawAC Monza
Pre-match model estimate: Torino 48%, draw 22%, AC Monza 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Torino win in 48% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and AC Monza win 30%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (9%); both teams score in 66%. About 9.5 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Torino – AC Monza match report
Updated:
A 3-2 home win for Torino against AC Monza in Serie A. The half-time score was 1-0. 19,096 spectators were at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
How the match unfolded
Torino took the lead on 39 minutes thanks to Kian Fitz-Jim, set up by Giovanni Simeone. It was Torino 1-0 AC Monza at half-time.
AC Monza drew level at 1-1 on 47 minutes thanks to Gustavo Varela. Torino went 2-1 up on 61 minutes thanks to Rafik Belghali, set up by Gvidas Gineitis. Torino extended their lead to 3-1 in the 73rd minute: Nikola Vlasic. Late on, in the 90th minute, AC Monza pulled one back to make it 3-2.
The statistics
The shot count read 7-3, 4-2 on target. Torino won 3 corners, AC Monza 4.
The bigger picture
Torino extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches. AC Monza have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Torino visit Frosinone Calcio next, on 1 November in Serie A. Next up for AC Monza: home to SSC Napoli on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
