Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC vs Shanghai Port FC: the story of the match
45' — Shanghai Port FC took the lead: 0-1. Prince Obeng Ampem scored it. Half time: 0-1.
53' — Shanghai Port FC extended the lead: 0-2. Leonardo scored from the penalty spot. 56' — Xin Yue of Shanghai Port FC was sent off. 73' — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC pulled one back: 1-2. Sun Ming-Him scored it. 87' — Shanghai Port FC extended the lead: 1-3. Leonardo scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Shanghai Port FC won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FCDrawShanghai Port FC
Pre-match model estimate: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 37%, draw 25%, Shanghai Port FC 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC win in 37% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Shanghai Port FC win 38%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC – Shanghai Port FC match report
Shanghai Port FC took the lead in the 45th minute: Prince Obeng Ampem, set up by Leonardo. It was Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 0-1 Shanghai Port FC at half-time.
After a review on 50 minutes, Shanghai Port FC were given a penalty. Shanghai Port FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 53 minutes thanks to Leonardo from the penalty spot. Shanghai Port FC were a man down from the 56th minute, when Xin Yue was sent off. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 73 minutes thanks to Sun Ming-Him, set up by Alberto Quiles Piosa. Shanghai Port FC extended their lead to 3-1 in the 87th minute: Leonardo, set up by Kuai Jiwen.
Shanghai Port FC had a goal ruled out.
The statistics
The shot count read 7-6, 5-6 on target. Corners finished 3-5.
What the result means
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC slip to 12th (31 points), having started the day 10th. Shanghai Port FC remain 5th, now with 42 points. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC's 6-match unbeaten run is over. Shanghai Port FC are now unbeaten in 11 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
