This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) win in 62% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom) win 20%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 68%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) – Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom) match report
Half-time: 0-0 between Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) and Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom).
Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) took the lead on 47 minutes. Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 51 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (55') Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom) pulled one back to make it 2-1. Just 5 minutes later (60') Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) extended their lead to 3-1. Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom) pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 72 minutes.
What the numbers say
Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) had 12 shots (8 on target) to Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom)'s 5 (5). Corners finished 12-1. Dangerous attacks: 81 for Throttur Reykjavik (Wom), 30 for Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom).
The bigger picture
Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) climb from 3rd to 2nd on 9 points. Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom) slip to 3rd (7 points), having started the day 2nd. Throttur Reykjavik (Wom) have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. Grindavik/Njardvik (Wom)'s 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
