Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Tartu JK Tammeka beat Narva Trans 5-1 in Premium Liiga.
Venue: Tamme Stadium.
Referee: K. Kaivoja.
Match decisions & VAR
86'Red cardTartu JK TammekaDecision
87'Review overNarva TransVAR review · red cardDecision
87'Red cardTartu JK TammekaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Tartu JK Tammeka won 5-1.
Story
Tartu JK Tammeka vs Narva Trans: the story of the match
20' — Narva Trans took the lead: 0-1. 37' — Tartu JK Tammeka equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
50' — Tartu JK Tammeka completed the turnaround: 2-1. 87' — Tartu JK Tammeka had a player sent off. 88' — Tartu JK Tammeka extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Tartu JK Tammeka extended the lead: 4-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Tartu JK Tammeka extended the lead: 5-1. It came in the closing minutes. Tartu JK Tammeka won 5-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Tartu JK TammekaDrawNarva Trans
Pre-match model estimate: Tartu JK Tammeka 53%, draw 22%, Narva Trans 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Tartu JK Tammeka win in 53% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Narva Trans win 25%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Narva Trans took the lead on 20 minutes. Tartu JK Tammeka drew level at 1-1 on 37 minutes. It was Tartu JK Tammeka 1-1 Narva Trans at half-time.
Tartu JK Tammeka completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 50 minutes. Tartu JK Tammeka were a man down from the 87th minute. Late on, in the 88th minute, Tartu JK Tammeka extended their lead to 3-1. Tartu JK Tammeka extended their lead to 4-1 on 90 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Tartu JK Tammeka extended their lead to 5-1.
Match statistics
The shot count read 3-1, 3-0 on target. Tartu JK Tammeka won 4 corners, Narva Trans 3.
What the result means
Narva Trans have now gone 9 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premium Liiga
