58' — Arsenal took the lead: 0-1. Bruno Guimaraes scored it. 90' — Arsenal extended the lead: 0-2. B. Saka scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. 96' — R. Mandava of Sunderland was sent off. Arsenal won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SunderlandDrawArsenal
Pre-match model estimate: Sunderland 17%, draw 30%, Arsenal 53%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Arsenal beat Sunderland2-0 without conceding at Stadium of Light. The half-time score was 0-0.
How the match unfolded
Half-time: 0-0 between Sunderland and Arsenal.
Arsenal took the lead on 58 minutes thanks to Bruno Guimaraes, set up by D. Rice. Arsenal extended their lead to 2-0 in the 90th minute: B. Saka from the penalty spot. R. Mandava saw a straight red card in the 96th minute, leaving Sunderland short-handed.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English Premier League
