Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
48' — Middlesbrough took the lead: 0-1. C. Brittain scored it. 50' — Stoke City equalised: 1-1. An own goal by Neto Borges. 73' — Middlesbrough went back in front: 1-2. W. Lankshear scored it. 85' — Stoke City equalised: 2-2. R. Bozenik scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Middlesbrough went back in front: 2-3. Neto Borges scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Middlesbrough won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
Pre-match model estimate: Stoke City 35%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Middlesbrough took the lead in the 48th minute: C. Brittain, set up by A. Cozier-Duberry. Stoke City drew level at 1-1 in the 50th minute: an own goal from Neto Borges. Middlesbrough went 2-1 up in the 73rd minute: W. Lankshear. Stoke City drew level at 2-2 in the 85th minute: R. Bozenik, set up by G. Hirst. Neto Borges put Middlesbrough 3-2 ahead after 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 3-14, 1-9 on target. Corners finished 4-3. Dangerous attacks: 49 for Middlesbrough, 24 for Stoke City.
What the result means
Stoke City's 6-match unbeaten run is over. Middlesbrough are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
Next fixtures
Stoke City's next match is at home against Preston North End on 31 October. Middlesbrough host Charlton Athletic next, on 31 October in the English League Championship.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English League Championship
