5' — Stade Rennais took the lead: 1-0. Esteban Lepaul scored it. 26' — Stade Rennais extended the lead: 2-0. Valentin Rongier scored it. 30' — Le Mans pulled one back: 2-1. Louis Mafouta scored it. Half time: 2-1.
54' — Le Mans equalised: 2-2. Louis Mafouta scored from the penalty spot. 68' — Djibril Sidibé of Le Mans was sent off. 96' — Stade Rennais went back in front: 3-2. Esteban Lepaul scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Stade Rennais won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Stade RennaisDrawLe Mans
Pre-match model estimate: Stade Rennais 58%, draw 22%, Le Mans 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A goal in the 96th minute gave Stade Rennais a 3-2 win against Le Mans in the Premiere Division. Stade Rennais owed a lot to Esteban Lepaul, who struck twice. It was 2-1 at half-time.
The story of the match
Esteban Lepaul opened the scoring for Stade Rennais after 5 minutes, set up by Adrien Thomasson. Stade Rennais extended their lead to 2-0 on 26 minutes thanks to Valentin Rongier, set up by Issa Soumaré. Just 4 minutes later (30') Le Mans pulled one back to make it 2-1, Louis Mafouta on target, set up by Lucas Calodat. Half-time: 2-1, Stade Rennais in front.
Le Mans drew level at 2-2 in the 54th minute: Louis Mafouta from the penalty spot. Le Mans were a man down from the 68th minute, when Djibril Sidibé was sent off. Late on, in the 96th minute, Stade Rennais went 3-2 up through Esteban Lepaul from the penalty spot.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.