SS Arezzo vs Benevento Calcio: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
49' — Benevento Calcio took the lead: 0-1. Antonis Siatounis scored it. 66' — Benevento Calcio extended the lead: 0-2. David Okereke scored it. 87' — Benevento Calcio extended the lead: 0-3. Guglielmo Mignani scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Benevento Calcio won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SS ArezzoDrawBenevento Calcio
Pre-match model estimate: SS Arezzo 31%, draw 26%, Benevento Calcio 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SS Arezzo win in 31% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Benevento Calcio win 43%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Benevento Calcio took the lead in the 49th minute: Antonis Siatounis. Benevento Calcio extended their lead to 2-0 on 66 minutes thanks to David Okereke. Benevento Calcio extended their lead to 3-0 on 87 minutes thanks to Guglielmo Mignani.
What the numbers say
SS Arezzo won 3 corners, Benevento Calcio 7.
The bigger picture
Benevento Calcio have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
What’s next
SS Arezzo visit Carrarese next, on 28 October in Serie B. Next up for Benevento Calcio: away at US Cremonese on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
