Sportivo AC Las Parejas vs CA Alvarado Mar del Plata: the story of the match
39' — CA Alvarado Mar del Plata took the lead: 0-1. A. Castellano scored it. Half time: 0-1.
68' — Sportivo AC Las Parejas had a player sent off. CA Alvarado Mar del Plata won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sportivo AC Las ParejasDrawCA Alvarado Mar del Plata
Pre-match model estimate: Sportivo AC Las Parejas 37%, draw 34%, CA Alvarado Mar del Plata 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sportivo AC Las Parejas win in 37% of the simulated matches, 34% end level and CA Alvarado Mar del Plata win 29%. Average goals 1.7; the most likely score is 0-0 (19%); both teams score in 32%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sportivo AC Las Parejas – CA Alvarado Mar del Plata match report
CA Alvarado Mar del Plata took the lead in the 39th minute: A. Castellano. Half-time: 0-1, CA Alvarado Mar del Plata in front.
Sportivo AC Las Parejas had a player sent off on 68 minutes.
The statistics
On target it was 3-3, from 5 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-1. Dangerous attacks: 78 for Sportivo AC Las Parejas, 47 for CA Alvarado Mar del Plata.
The bigger picture
Sportivo AC Las Parejas move on to 24 points. The result takes CA Alvarado Mar del Plata to 30 points. Sportivo AC Las Parejas' 5-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
