Sport Recife vs Sao Bernardo FC SP: the story of the match
18' — Sport Recife took the lead: 1-0. Neto scored it. Half time: 1-0.
46' — Sao Bernardo FC SP equalised: 1-1. Pedrinho scored it. 86' — Sport Recife went back in front: 2-1. Patrick de Paula scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Sport Recife won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sport RecifeDrawSao Bernardo FC SP
Pre-match model estimate: Sport Recife 41%, draw 30%, Sao Bernardo FC SP 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sport Recife took the lead on 18 minutes thanks to Neto. Half-time: 1-0, Sport Recife in front.
Sao Bernardo FC SP drew level at 1-1 in the 46th minute: Pedrinho, set up by Lucas Lima. Late on, in the 86th minute, Sport Recife went 2-1 up through Patrick de Paula.
The statistics
The shot count read 10-14, 6-7 on target. Corners finished 5-9.
Brasileiro Serie B
