Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Sliema Wanderers beat Marsaxlokk 2-1 in VBET Malta Premier.
Venue: Tony Bezzina Stadium.
In our records Sliema Wanderers and Marsaxlokk have met 9 times: Sliema Wanderers won 3, 3 ended level and Marsaxlokk won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Marsaxlokk 1-1 Sliema Wanderers.
Match decisions & VAR
65'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sliema Wanderers won 2-1.
Story
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk: the story of the match
25' — Sliema Wanderers took the lead: 1-0. 30' — Marsaxlokk equalised: 1-1. 44' — Sliema Wanderers went back in front: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
Sliema Wanderers won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sliema WanderersDrawMarsaxlokk
Pre-match model estimate: Sliema Wanderers 40%, draw 27%, Marsaxlokk 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sliema Wanderers win in 40% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Marsaxlokk win 33%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sliema Wanderers took the lead on 25 minutes. Just 5 minutes later (30') Marsaxlokk drew level at 1-1. Sliema Wanderers went 2-1 up on 44 minutes. It was Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Marsaxlokk at half-time.
The statistics
The shot count read 11-8, 6-4 on target. Sliema Wanderers won 6 corners, Marsaxlokk 9.
What it means
The result lifts Sliema Wanderers to 3rd with 17 points, up from 4th. Marsaxlokk stay 2nd on 17 points. Sliema Wanderers have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
