Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Skive IK beat VSK Aarhus 4-1 in 2. Division.
In our records Skive IK and VSK Aarhus have met 5 times: Skive IK won 1, 3 ended level and VSK Aarhus won 1.
Their latest meeting (): VSK Aarhus 1-0 Skive IK.
Match decisions & VAR
59'Penalty awardedSkive IKDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Skive IK won 4-1.
Story
Skive IK vs VSK Aarhus: the story of the match
9' — Skive IK took the lead: 1-0. 12' — Skive IK extended the lead: 2-0. 23' — Skive IK extended the lead: 3-0. 45' — VSK Aarhus pulled one back: 3-1. Half time: 3-1.
60' — Skive IK extended the lead: 4-1. Skive IK won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Skive IKDrawVSK Aarhus
Pre-match model estimate: Skive IK 35%, draw 26%, VSK Aarhus 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Skive IK win in 35% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and VSK Aarhus win 39%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Skive IK thrashed VSK Aarhus4-1 in the 2. Division. It was 3-1 at half-time.
Key moments
Skive IK took the lead on 9 minutes. Skive IK extended their lead to 2-0 on 12 minutes. Skive IK extended their lead to 3-0 on 23 minutes. VSK Aarhus pulled one back to make it 3-1 on 45 minutes. It was Skive IK 3-1 VSK Aarhus at half-time.
Skive IK extended their lead to 4-1 on 60 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 5-5.
What the result means
The wait for a win goes on for VSK Aarhus: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
