Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FK Smiltene/BJSS beat Skanstes SK 3-1 in 1. Liga.
In our records Skanstes SK and FK Smiltene/BJSS have met 9 times: Skanstes SK won 5, 3 ended level and FK Smiltene/BJSS won 1.
Their latest meeting (): FK Smiltene/BJSS 2-4 Skanstes SK.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Smiltene/BJSS won 1-3.
Story
Skanstes SK vs FK Smiltene/BJSS: the story of the match
27' — FK Smiltene/BJSS took the lead: 0-1. 38' — FK Smiltene/BJSS extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
47' — Skanstes SK pulled one back: 1-2. 61' — FK Smiltene/BJSS extended the lead: 1-3. FK Smiltene/BJSS won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Skanstes SKDrawFK Smiltene/BJSS
Pre-match model estimate: Skanstes SK 45%, draw 21%, FK Smiltene/BJSS 34%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Skanstes SK win in 45% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and FK Smiltene/BJSS win 34%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 73%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FK Smiltene/BJSS took the lead on 27 minutes. FK Smiltene/BJSS extended their lead to 2-0 on 38 minutes. It was Skanstes SK 0-2 FK Smiltene/BJSS at half-time.
Skanstes SK pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 47 minutes. FK Smiltene/BJSS extended their lead to 3-1 on 61 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 7-3, from 10 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 10-2. Skanstes SK's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 110 for Skanstes SK, 67 for FK Smiltene/BJSS.
The bigger picture
Skanstes SK remain 9th, now with 26 points. FK Smiltene/BJSS stay 10th on 23 points. Skanstes SK have lost 4 in a row. FK Smiltene/BJSS are now unbeaten in 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
