Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Shahdagh Qusar FK beat Sabail FC 1-0 in 1. Division.
Match decisions & VAR
89'Red cardSabail FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Shahdagh Qusar FK won 1-0.
Story
Shahdagh Qusar FK vs Sabail FC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
49' — Shahdagh Qusar FK took the lead: 1-0. 89' — Sabail FC had a player sent off. Shahdagh Qusar FK won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Shahdagh Qusar FKDrawSabail FC
Pre-match model estimate: Shahdagh Qusar FK 44%, draw 29%, Sabail FC 27%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Shahdagh Qusar FK win in 44% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Sabail FC win 27%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 44%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Shahdagh Qusar FK took the lead on 49 minutes. Sabail FC had a player sent off on 89 minutes.
What the numbers say
Shahdagh Qusar FK won 4 corners, Sabail FC 2.
The bigger picture
Shahdagh Qusar FK drop from 1st to 2nd on 15 points. Sabail FC slip to 4th (11 points), having started the day 3rd. Shahdagh Qusar FK ended Sabail FC's unbeaten run of 5 matches.
Coming up
Shahdagh Qusar FK's next match is away to MOIK Baku on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
