SE Palmeiras (Wom) vs Independiente Santa Fe (Wom): the story of the match
8' — SE Palmeiras (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. Brena Carolina scored it. Half time: 1-0.
62' — SE Palmeiras (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. Raissa Bahia scored it. 69' — Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) pulled one back: 2-1. M. Zamorano scored it. 90' — Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) equalised: 2-2. J. Ortegon scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SE Palmeiras (Wom)DrawIndependiente Santa Fe (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: SE Palmeiras (Wom) 78%, draw 15%, Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) 7%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SE Palmeiras (Wom) win in 78% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) win 7%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 42%. About 8.6 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SE Palmeiras (Wom) – Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) match report
SE Palmeiras (Wom) took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to Brena Carolina. SE Palmeiras (Wom) led 1-0 at the break.
SE Palmeiras (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 62 minutes thanks to Raissa Bahia, set up by Brena Carolina. M. Zamorano reduced the deficit for Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) to 2-1 after 69 minutes, set up by M. Torres. Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) drew level at 2-2 on 90 minutes thanks to J. Ortegon, set up by M. Zamorano.
The statistics
SE Palmeiras (Wom) won 3 corners, Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) 5. Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) produced 49 dangerous attacks to SE Palmeiras (Wom)'s 33.
What it means
SE Palmeiras (Wom) extend their unbeaten run to 12 matches. Independiente Santa Fe (Wom) have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Independiente Santa Fe (Wom): away at Corinthians SP (Wom) on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women, Group C
