One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Scotland U21Kick-off0-0Ukraine U21
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Scotland U21 win in 35% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Ukraine U21 win 41%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 59%.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Scotland U21 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Scotland U21's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Ukraine U21 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Ukraine U21 have scored in 6 matches in a row. 6 of Ukraine U21's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
Scotland U21 come into it with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 2-0 win over Bulgaria U21 for Scotland U21. Scotland U21 have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Ukraine U21 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Ukraine U21 have found the net in 6 straight games. Goals have flowed in Ukraine U21's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Model estimate
Our model's estimate: Scotland U21 35%, draw 24%, Ukraine U21 41% — an estimate, not a certainty. 1-1 is the single most likely score in the model (12%).
Live on ScoreMondo
Follow Scotland U21 v Ukraine U21 live on ScoreMondo: the live score, the line-ups, the statistics and every key event as it happens.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
