Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Bedford Town FC beat Scarborough Athletic FC 2-1 in National League North.
In our records Scarborough Athletic FC and Bedford Town FC have met 2 times: Scarborough Athletic FC won 0, 2 ended level and Bedford Town FC won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Bedford Town FC 1-1 Scarborough Athletic FC.
Match decisions & VAR
79'Penalty awardedBedford Town FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Bedford Town FC won 1-2.
Story
Scarborough Athletic FC vs Bedford Town FC: the story of the match
14' — Bedford Town FC took the lead: 0-1. 28' — Scarborough Athletic FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
80' — Bedford Town FC went back in front: 1-2. Bedford Town FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Scarborough Athletic FCDrawBedford Town FC
Pre-match model estimate: Scarborough Athletic FC 54%, draw 23%, Bedford Town FC 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Scarborough Athletic FC win in 54% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Bedford Town FC win 23%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Scarborough Athletic FC – Bedford Town FC match report
Bedford Town FC took the lead on 14 minutes. Scarborough Athletic FC drew level at 1-1 on 28 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Scarborough Athletic FC and Bedford Town FC.
Bedford Town FC went 2-1 up on 80 minutes.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 8-10, 4-6 on target. Scarborough Athletic FC won 12 corners, Bedford Town FC 5. Scarborough Athletic FC produced 57 dangerous attacks to Bedford Town FC's 35.
What it means
Scarborough Athletic FC have now scored in 7 consecutive matches. Bedford Town FC end a run of 3 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.