SC Preussen Munster vs MSV Duisburg: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
61' — MSV Duisburg took the lead: 0-1. An own goal by N. Koulis. 69' — MSV Duisburg extended the lead: 0-2. D. Kother scored it. 77' — SC Preussen Munster pulled one back: 1-2. A. Tikvić scored it. MSV Duisburg won 1-2.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SC Preussen Munster win in 27% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and MSV Duisburg win 50%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between SC Preussen Munster and MSV Duisburg.
MSV Duisburg took the lead in the 61st minute: an own goal from N. Koulis. MSV Duisburg extended their lead to 2-0 on 69 minutes thanks to D. Kother, set up by L. Lobinger. A. Tikvić reduced the deficit for SC Preussen Munster to 1-2 after 77 minutes, set up by M. Schulz.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-1, from 6 and 2 attempts respectively. 5 saves came from the MSV Duisburg goalkeeper. SC Preussen Munster produced 105 dangerous attacks to MSV Duisburg's 59.
What the result means
SC Preussen Munster stay 14th on 15 points. MSV Duisburg remain 2nd, now with 29 points. SC Preussen Munster have now scored in 6 consecutive matches. MSV Duisburg end a run of 3 matches without a win. It is MSV Duisburg's first win against SC Preussen Munster since 2020.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
