Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
SC Austria Lustenau and SK Sturm Graz meet on in OFB Cup.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards SK Sturm Graz (67%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
14%19%67%
SC Austria Lustenau14%Draw19%SK Sturm Graz67%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
SC Austria Lustenau vs SK Sturm Graz: preview
SC Austria Lustenau have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. SC Austria Lustenau have lost 4 matches in a row. 7 of SC Austria Lustenau's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. SK Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. SK Sturm Graz are unbeaten in 3 matches. 7 of SK Sturm Graz's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: SC Austria Lustenau 14%, draw 19%, SK Sturm Graz 67%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): SC Austria Lustenau win in 14% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and SK Sturm Graz win 67%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (11%); both teams score in 53%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Recent form for SC Austria Lustenau: 1 win and 4 defeats in 5, with 7 goals for and 15 against. SC Austria Lustenau have lost 4 in a row. 7 of SC Austria Lustenau's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
SK Sturm Graz come into it with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 matches. SK Sturm Graz are unbeaten in 3 matches. Goals have flowed in SK Sturm Graz's games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.