Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples: the story of the match
35' — Sarasota Paradise took the lead: 1-0. Sander Røed scored it. 39' — FC Naples equalised: 1-1. Ty Collins scored it. Half time: 1-1.
61' — FC Naples completed the turnaround: 1-2. Kevin O'Connor scored it. 90' — FC Naples extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Sarasota Paradise pulled one back: 2-3. Jonathan Bolanos scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 94' — Aaron Walker of Sarasota Paradise was sent off. FC Naples won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Sarasota ParadiseDrawFC Naples
Pre-match model estimate: Sarasota Paradise 36%, draw 26%, FC Naples 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sarasota Paradise win in 36% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and FC Naples win 38%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sarasota Paradise took the lead on 35 minutes thanks to Sander Røed. Ty Collins equalised for FC Naples at 1-1 after 39 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
Kevin O'Connor turned the game around for FC Naples at 2-1 after 61 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Naples extended their lead to 3-1. Sarasota Paradise pulled one back to make it 2-3 in the 90th minute: Jonathan Bolanos. Aaron Walker saw a straight red card in the 94th minute, leaving Sarasota Paradise short-handed.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-7, 4-4 on target. Corners finished 8-4. Dangerous attacks: 138 for Sarasota Paradise, 82 for FC Naples.
What the result means
Sarasota Paradise have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. That is 5 straight wins for FC Naples.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
