Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Ross County FC vs Hamilton Academical FC: the story of the match
Ross County FC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 31' — Ross County FC took the lead: 1-0. 38' — Hamilton Academical FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1, with Ross County FC applying more of the pressure.
After 76' the momentum swung to Hamilton Academical FC. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ross County FCDrawHamilton Academical FC
Pre-match model estimate: Ross County FC 61%, draw 21%, Hamilton Academical FC 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Ross County FCHamilton Academical FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min460
Last 15 min2531
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ross County FC win in 61% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Hamilton Academical FC win 18%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ross County FC – Hamilton Academical FC match report
Ross County FC started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Ross County FC took the lead on 31 minutes. Hamilton Academical FC drew level at 1-1 on 38 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Ross County FC and Hamilton Academical FC.
The officials disallowed a Ross County FC goal on 46 minutes. Hamilton Academical FC had a goal ruled out. From the 76th minute the pressure shifted towards Hamilton Academical FC.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-3, from 9 and 4 attempts respectively. Corners finished 10-6. Dangerous attacks: 56 for Ross County FC, 26 for Hamilton Academical FC.
What it means
Ross County FC remain 1st, now with 32 points. Hamilton Academical FC stay 2nd on 32 points. Ross County FC's winning streak stops at 9. The result ends Hamilton Academical FC's run of 11 straight wins. Across 10 meetings in our records: 5 wins for Ross County FC, 2 wins for Hamilton Academical FC and 3 draws.
Coming up
Next up for Ross County FC: away at East Kilbride FC on Saturday 31 October. Hamilton Academical FC's next match is at home against Montrose FC on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
