Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley: the story of the match
?' — Accrington Stanley took the lead: 0-1. Charlie Warren scored it. ?' — Accrington Stanley extended the lead: 0-2. Josh Woods scored it. ?' — Accrington Stanley extended the lead: 0-3. Tyler Walton scored it. ?' — Accrington Stanley extended the lead: 0-4. Tyler Walton scored it. ?' — Accrington Stanley extended the lead: 0-5. Alex Henderson scored it. Half time: 0-3.
Accrington Stanley won 0-5.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
RochdaleDrawAccrington Stanley
Pre-match model estimate: Rochdale 37%, draw 26%, Accrington Stanley 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Rochdale win in 37% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Accrington Stanley win 37%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 5-0 rout: Accrington Stanley swept Rochdale aside at Crown Oil Arena. Accrington Stanley owed a lot to Tyler Walton, who struck twice. It was 0-3 at half-time. The attendance at Crown Oil Arena was 4,029.
The story of the match
Accrington Stanley took the lead, Charlie Warren the scorer. Accrington Stanley extended their lead to 2-0, Josh Woods the scorer. Accrington Stanley extended their lead to 3-0, Tyler Walton the scorer. Accrington Stanley extended their lead to 4-0, Tyler Walton the scorer. Accrington Stanley extended their lead to 5-0, Alex Henderson the scorer.
It was Rochdale 0-3 Accrington Stanley at half-time.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Rochdale: 5 matches now. Accrington Stanley are now unbeaten in 9 matches.
League Two
