Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
VV UNA beat RKSV Groene Ster 3-1 in Derde Divisie.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: VV UNA won 1-3.
Story
RKSV Groene Ster vs VV UNA: the story of the match
44' — RKSV Groene Ster took the lead: 1-0. 45' — VV UNA equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
53' — VV UNA completed the turnaround: 1-2. 56' — VV UNA extended the lead: 1-3. VV UNA won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
RKSV Groene SterDrawVV UNA
Pre-match model estimate: RKSV Groene Ster 39%, draw 23%, VV UNA 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): RKSV Groene Ster win in 39% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and VV UNA win 38%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 67%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
