Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Sporting CP U23 beat Rio Ave U23 2-1 in U23 Liga Next Gen.
In our records Rio Ave U23 and Sporting CP U23 have met 7 times: Rio Ave U23 won 2, 2 ended level and Sporting CP U23 won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Sporting CP U23 3-0 Rio Ave U23.
Match decisions & VAR
60'Penalty awardedRio Ave U23Decision
Goal disallowedRio Ave U23Decision · Score 1-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Sporting CP U23 won 1-2.
Story
Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 10' — Sporting CP U23 took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
61' — Rio Ave U23 equalised: 1-1. 83' — Sporting CP U23 went back in front: 1-2. After 46' the momentum swung to Rio Ave U23. Sporting CP U23 won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Rio Ave U23DrawSporting CP U23
Pre-match model estimate: Rio Ave U23 37%, draw 24%, Sporting CP U23 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Rio Ave U23Sporting CP U23
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min630
Last 15 min7415
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Rio Ave U23 win in 37% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Sporting CP U23 win 39%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sporting CP U23 took the lead on 10 minutes. Sporting CP U23 led 1-0 at the break.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Rio Ave U23. Rio Ave U23 drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes. Sporting CP U23 went 2-1 up on 83 minutes. Rio Ave U23 had a goal ruled out.
What the numbers say
Rio Ave U23 had 8 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP U23's 2 (2). Corners finished 7-2. Dangerous attacks: 75 for Rio Ave U23, 28 for Sporting CP U23.
What it means
Rio Ave U23 slip to 5th (16 points), having started the day 4th. Sporting CP U23 remain 1st, now with 21 points. Rio Ave U23's 6-match unbeaten run is over. Sporting CP U23 beat Rio Ave U23 for the first time since 2023.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
