Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora: the story of the match
21' — Estrela Amadora took the lead: 0-1. I. Stoica scored it. 45' — Rio Ave equalised: 1-1. F. Petrasso scored it. Half time: 1-1.
53' — Estrela Amadora went back in front: 1-2. A. Marcus scored it. 57' — Rio Ave equalised: 2-2. R. Galcik scored it. 62' — Estrela Amadora went back in front: 2-3. A. Marcus scored it. 78' — Rio Ave equalised: 3-3. J. Blesa scored from the penalty spot. The match ended 3-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Rio AveDrawEstrela Amadora
Pre-match model estimate: Rio Ave 30%, draw 25%, Estrela Amadora 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neither Rio Ave nor Estrela Amadora could find a winner in a 3-3 draw. A. Marcus scored twice for Estrela Amadora. The half-time score was 1-1.
Key moments
Estrela Amadora took the lead on 21 minutes thanks to I. Stoica, set up by L. Antonetti. Rio Ave drew level at 1-1 in the 45th minute: F. Petrasso, set up by Diogo Bezerra. Half-time: 1-1 between Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora.
Estrela Amadora went 2-1 up on 53 minutes thanks to A. Marcus, set up by M. Scholze. R. Galcik equalised for Rio Ave at 2-2 after 57 minutes. Estrela Amadora went 3-2 up on 62 minutes thanks to A. Marcus, set up by I. Stoica. Rio Ave drew level at 3-3 on 78 minutes thanks to J. Blesa from the penalty spot.
What it means
Estrela Amadora extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. Across 5 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Rio Ave, 1 win for Estrela Amadora and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Portuguese Primeira Liga
