35'Review overReal Union de IrunVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Real Union de Irun won 4-1.
Story
Real Union de Irun vs CD Lugo: the story of the match
14' — Real Union de Irun took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
63' — CD Lugo equalised: 1-1. 71' — Real Union de Irun went back in front: 2-1. 82' — Real Union de Irun extended the lead: 3-1. 90' — Real Union de Irun extended the lead: 4-1. It came in the closing minutes. Real Union de Irun won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Union de IrunDrawCD Lugo
Pre-match model estimate: Real Union de Irun 42%, draw 26%, CD Lugo 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Union de Irun win in 42% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and CD Lugo win 32%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a CD Lugo goal on 13 minutes. CD Lugo had a goal ruled out in the 13th minute. Just 1 minutes later (14') Real Union de Irun took the lead. Half-time: 1-0, Real Union de Irun in front.
CD Lugo drew level at 1-1 on 63 minutes. Real Union de Irun went 2-1 up on 71 minutes. Real Union de Irun extended their lead to 3-1 on 82 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Real Union de Irun extended their lead to 4-1.
The statistics
Real Union de Irun had 10 shots (7 on target) to CD Lugo's 8 (4). Corners finished 7-5. CD Lugo's goalkeeper made 7 saves. Dangerous attacks: 202 for Real Union de Irun, 153 for CD Lugo.
What the result means
Real Union de Irun climb from 13th to 8th on 13 points. CD Lugo remain 1st, now with 22 points. A 6-game wait for victory is over for Real Union de Irun. CD Lugo's 11-match unbeaten run is over.
Coming up
Real Union de Irun's next match is away to Club Portugalete on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
