Real Pilar FC vs CSD Liniers: the story of the match
2' — V. Gelos of Real Pilar FC was sent off. 19' — Real Pilar FC took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by J. Roth. Half time: 1-0.
81' — Real Pilar FC extended the lead: 2-0. J. Cesar scored it. 86' — CSD Liniers pulled one back: 2-1. R. Di Motta scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Real Pilar FC won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Pilar FCDrawCSD Liniers
Pre-match model estimate: Real Pilar FC 50%, draw 28%, CSD Liniers 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Pilar FC win in 50% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and CSD Liniers win 22%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (17%); both teams score in 38%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Real Pilar FC – CSD Liniers match report
Updated:
Real Pilar FC got the better of CSD Liniers, winning 2-1 at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza. It was 1-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
Real Pilar FC had a player sent off on 2 minutes: V. Gelos. Real Pilar FC took the lead on 19 minutes thanks to an own goal from J. Roth. Half-time: 1-0, Real Pilar FC in front.
The officials disallowed a CSD Liniers goal on 64 minutes. Real Pilar FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 81 minutes thanks to J. Cesar. CSD Liniers pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 86 minutes thanks to R. Di Motta from the penalty spot.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 4-5, 3-4 on target. Corners finished 6-5. Dangerous attacks: 43 for CSD Liniers, 28 for Real Pilar FC.
What it means
Real Pilar FC climb from 8th to 7th on 65 points. CSD Liniers slip to 19th (45 points), having started the day 15th. CSD Liniers' 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
