Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Real Native FC vs Highbury FC: the story of the match
7' — Real Native FC took the lead: 1-0. 45' — Highbury FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Native FCDrawHighbury FC
Pre-match model estimate: Real Native FC 50%, draw 28%, Highbury FC 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Native FC win in 50% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Highbury FC win 22%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 43%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Real Native FC took the lead on 7 minutes. Real Native FC had a goal ruled out in the 16th minute. Highbury FC drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes. It was Real Native FC 1-1 Highbury FC at half-time.
What the numbers say
Real Native FC had 2 shots (2 on target) to Highbury FC's 2 (1). Real Native FC won 4 corners, Highbury FC 9. Highbury FC produced 148 dangerous attacks to Real Native FC's 119.
What it means
Real Native FC drop from 2nd to 3rd on 16 points. Highbury FC slip to 8th (12 points), having started the day 7th. Highbury FC have now gone 5 matches without a win. Across 5 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Real Native FC, 1 win for Highbury FC and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
