Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Real Murcia B beat Lorca Deportiva 3-2 in Segunda Federacion, Group V.
In our records Real Murcia B and Lorca Deportiva have met 10 times: Real Murcia B won 5, 1 ended level and Lorca Deportiva won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Lorca Deportiva 2-1 Real Murcia B.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Real Murcia B won 3-2.
Story
Real Murcia B vs Lorca Deportiva: the story of the match
28' — Lorca Deportiva took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
51' — Real Murcia B equalised: 1-1. 55' — Lorca Deportiva went back in front: 1-2. 72' — Real Murcia B equalised: 2-2. 89' — Real Murcia B completed the turnaround: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Real Murcia B won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Murcia BDrawLorca Deportiva
Pre-match model estimate: Real Murcia B 27%, draw 27%, Lorca Deportiva 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Murcia B win in 27% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Lorca Deportiva win 46%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 5.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lorca Deportiva took the lead on 28 minutes. It was Real Murcia B 0-1 Lorca Deportiva at half-time.
Real Murcia B drew level at 1-1 on 51 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (55') Lorca Deportiva went 2-1 up. Real Murcia B drew level at 2-2 on 72 minutes. Late on, in the 89th minute, Real Murcia B completed the turnaround at 3-2.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 1-4, 0-3 on target.
What it means
Lorca Deportiva have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Segunda Federacion, Group V
