Real Murcia vs AD Alcorcon kick-off time: 15/11/2026 17:45
Primera Federacion, Group 2
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Real MurciaDWLDW
- AD AlcorconWDDDLUnbeaten in 4 matches
Recent meetings
More- Primera División RFEF - Group 2AD Alcorcon1 - 0Real Murcia
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2Real Murcia2 - 1AD Alcorcon
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2AD Alcorcon2 - 1Real Murcia
Primera Federacion
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Villarreal B | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 | Real Jaen | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | AD Alcorcon | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 | UD Ibiza Eivissa | 11 | +4 | 18 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Real Murcia and AD Alcorcon meet on in Primera Federacion, Group 2.
In our records Real Murcia and AD Alcorcon have met 4 times: Real Murcia won 2, 0 ended level and AD Alcorcon won 2.
Their latest meeting (): AD Alcorcon 1-0 Real Murcia.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Real Murcia (41%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Real Murcia vs AD Alcorcon: preview
Real Murcia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Real Murcia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. AD Alcorcon have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. AD Alcorcon are unbeaten in 4 matches. 5 of AD Alcorcon's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 4 meetings, Real Murcia won 2, 0 ended level and AD Alcorcon won 2. Real Murcia are in position 3 with 20 points, AD Alcorcon in position 5 with 18 points. A win could lift Real Murcia as high as position 2. A win could lift AD Alcorcon as high as position 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Real Murcia 41%, draw 26%, AD Alcorcon 33%.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 2.
- A defeat drops them to 4.
- A win lifts them to 3.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 6.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Real Murcia win in 41% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and AD Alcorcon win 33%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 53%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
