Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
UD Logrones beat Real Aviles CF 3-1 in Primera Federacion.
In our records Real Aviles CF and UD Logrones have met 5 times: Real Aviles CF won 1, 1 ended level and UD Logrones won 3.
Their latest meeting (): UD Logrones 4-0 Real Aviles CF.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: UD Logrones won 1-3.
Story
Real Aviles CF vs UD Logrones: the story of the match
29' — Real Aviles CF took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
59' — UD Logrones equalised: 1-1. 79' — UD Logrones completed the turnaround: 1-2. 85' — UD Logrones extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. UD Logrones won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Real Aviles CFDrawUD Logrones
Pre-match model estimate: Real Aviles CF 35%, draw 25%, UD Logrones 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Real Aviles CF win in 35% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and UD Logrones win 40%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Real Aviles CF took the lead on 29 minutes. It was Real Aviles CF 1-0 UD Logrones at half-time.
UD Logrones drew level at 1-1 on 59 minutes. UD Logrones completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 79 minutes. UD Logrones extended their lead to 3-1 on 85 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 2-5. Dangerous attacks: 143 for UD Logrones, 111 for Real Aviles CF.
The bigger picture
Real Aviles CF slip to 14th (11 points), having started the day 11th. UD Logrones remain 2nd, now with 20 points. Real Aviles CF have now scored in 8 consecutive matches. UD Logrones have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. UD Logrones beat Real Aviles CF for the first time since 2017.
Coming up
Next up for UD Logrones: away at SD Amorebieta on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
